Simulation of mean monthly maximum temperature in summer of northern region, Thailand using INMCM4.0 model

نویسندگان

چکیده

Project aims to simulate Mean Monthly Maximum Temperature (Tasmax) in summer of Northern, Thailand (2020-2030) using INMCM4.0 Model. Observation data historical period were gathered from 14 Meteorological Department Thailand, used compare Simulation same verify the model. Quantile Mapping (QM) was best statistical downscaling method predict future Tasmax with lowest %MPAE and MAE at 5.29% ?1.85 oC. values presented form map by kriging then trend changes calculated Mann-Kendall test Sen?s slope. The results illustrated that highest found around left-bottom region fading next area top. gradually rising February May most range hot (35.0 - 39.9?C) very (>40?C). Moreover, analysis indicated February, March, April, fluctuated obviously increased +0.111, +0.130, +0.121, +0.063?C per year while it -0.007?C for 28.8 41.5?C. This can confirm would have global warming issues future.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['0350-3593', '2406-078X']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2298/gsgd2202121p